Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Here Comes Santa With His 1250 "kiss"... Mid Day S&P Update (SPY)

ES_F 5 min .. 1250 "kiss"
Something i have been chirping about and writing about here and on Economic Burn is the slow melt up of all most asset classes, especially the futures. Last night we put in fresh 24 month highs of 1246.50 then again early this afternoon we "kissed" 1250.

Well all be damned just in time for santa to climb down the chimney... I thought i was surely getting a lump of coal because of all my bearishness. I am a bear at heart but this markets volume is so low there is nothing that can move this market down so why not give the bastard and upward skew into the holidays? Yeah why not? The chart up to the left is a 5 minute of the ES_F, nice slow non alarming upward skew.

What is interesting about this move is the US dollar futures are on the move as well, hanging in nice and strong despite their opposite correlation earlier this year. Also precious metals are not up really enough to talk about they they are up and are showing signs or breaking the all important correlation until the new year begins when the big money comes back into this market and shakes things up a bit.

When i say shake things up a bit i mean volatility might pop a bit up into the new year because
historically when the vix is at quiet low levels of support there are all be it quick, but violent spikes. These spikes catch many skinny dippers off guard. Do not get caught naked in the pool ladies and gents, kinda embarrassing.

Us dollar 5 min futures
The levels i am watching are obviously a breach of 1250 on the upside followed by 1255, on the downside i m watching 1245 and 1240. i am sticking to the whole numbers because we have been gravitating towards the whole numbers as of late.

The US dollar futures may be propped up a bit but you know what take it down to you terminal and trade them bastards. She held 80.60 this morning an pushed through 81 with ease all while spot gold and equities were making highs....