The bearish rising wedge we "semi sorta bears" have been watching for quite some time seems like only lines on paper. TA setups have been brutal since the "bottom", most have been smashed apart by the bulls. I would be a much more confident trader if we sold off a bit, collected ourselves, then moved higher or *lower. The faster and harder we rise the harder and faster we fall? maybe i am a bit overzealous ... my theory is let the market trade, "bank holding company's" stop hitting each others offers and lets see this market play out naturally without all the "price discovery programs". I know I will never get my way, so I might as well adapt . WE could remain overbot for 3 or 4 years much like after the tech bubble, if that is the case we could be sitting at spy 155 by Aug-Sept 2010. This is a really fat chance, but so was + 60% from the "bottom".
The chart is a weekly SPY with the macro trends highlighted, looks like we have broken down through the wedge on the logarithmic chart yet we are still hugging the down trending resistance. Your guess is as good as mine.


